Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Sichuan Bank successfully issued 5.4 billion tier-2 capital bonds for the first time, with a subscription multiple of 6.6 times. Sichuan Bank completed its first capital bond issuance on December 10th. According to the information released by China Foreign Exchange Trading Center, the scale of Tier 2 capital bonds issued by Sichuan Bank this time is 5.4 billion yuan, and the subscription multiple is as high as 6.6 times, while that of coupon rate is 2.20%, with a term of 5+5 years. This bond attracted more than 100 institutional investors including banks, brokers, funds, trusts and wealth management subsidiaries to participate in the subscription, with a cumulative investment of more than 35 billion yuan.Modern Pharmaceuticals: Sinopharm Zhijun, the holding subsidiary, obtained the drug registration certificate of Cefotaxime Tablets. Modern Pharmaceuticals announced that Sinopharm Zhijun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., the holding subsidiary, recently received the Drug Registration Certificate of Cefotaxime Tablets approved and issued by National Medical Products Administration. Cefopoxime axetil tablets are the third generation cephalosporins taken orally, which are used to treat upper respiratory tract infections and lower respiratory tract infections caused by sensitive bacteria. In 2023, the global sales of preparations will be USD 370 million, and the sales of public hospitals nationwide will be RMB 102 million. The accumulative R&D investment of Sinopharm Zhijun is about RMB 28.45 million. Obtaining the registration certificate will enrich the company's product line, increase market competitiveness and have a positive impact on the company's future development. However, drug sales are easily affected by factors such as policies and market environment, and there are uncertainties.
The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia.Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst in Capital.com, looks forward to the US CPI in November: The expected CPI data basically gives the Fed a green light to cut interest rates next week, which may be the gold catalyst we need to see.According to the Islamic Republic of Iran News Agency (IRNA), a senior Russian parliamentarian called for Iran to join the Ji 'an organization.
Jizhi Co., Ltd.: Signed a supplementary agreement on development cooperation of 1.1 million yuan, and Jizhi Co., Ltd. announced that the company signed a supplementary agreement on entrusted development cooperation projects with Jiang Laboratory and Hangzhou Dilting Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. According to the agreement, all parties have completed the development of intelligent underwater acoustic signal products, and will accelerate the application, promotion and industrialization of related products. The supplementary agreement stipulates that Jizhi shares will donate 1.1 million yuan to Zhejiang Zhijiang Development Foundation for public welfare. The signing of this agreement does not involve related party transactions, nor does it constitute a major asset restructuring. It still needs to be submitted to the company's second extraordinary shareholders meeting in 2024 for consideration. The signing of the agreement has limited impact on the company's short-term financial situation, but it is expected to have important strategic significance for the company's business development in the process of industrialization of related products.On the 11th, iron ore fell by 1.64%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract iron ore was closed at 2501, up or down by -1.64%, with a turnover of 165,400 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 14,975 lots. Iron ore futures contracts totaled 429,100 lots, a decrease of 195,200 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 462,200 lots, a decrease of 6,055 lots from the previous day. There were 481,400 short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract, an increase of 7,172 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)UBS: It is estimated that by 2025, the price of Brent crude oil will rise to $80/barrel and WTI crude oil will rise to $75/barrel. Have a constructive view on the prospect of natural gas price in 2025 (the forecast is $3.50/million British heat in June and $3.60/million British heat in September).
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14